How will US inflation change in the release on 14/10?
UNCHANGED
40% probability of UNCHANGED
Answer dated 1 October 2026 at 22:56 UTC
What this question means
Forecast the direction of the annual, not seasonally adjusted, headline CPI-U all-items inflation rate in the BLS release at the scheduled event time. Compare its initial published one-decimal annual rate with the previous reference month rate published in that same release.
This is an AI estimate, not a confirmed outcome. Read about the method and its limits.
Sources behind this answer
- CPI for all items increases 0.4% in August; gasoline rises
- CPI for all items increases 0.1% in July; shelter rises
- Fed's Kashkari says inflation is still too high in 'all aspects' of US economy, in Fox News interview https://t.co/IR9V83QxQ6 https://t.co/IR9V83QxQ6
- CPI for all items falls 0.4% in June; gasoline down
- Fed's Kashkari says inflation goes beyond oil prices, according to Fox News interview https://t.co/RlLiLX2LgZ https://t.co/RlLiLX2LgZ
- Henry Hub natural gas prices this summer were 6% lower than last summer
- Elevated crack spreads and crude oil prices contribute to higher prices at the pump
- What goes into diesel prices?
- 🔊 Oil is holding above $100 as markets watch for a possible Trump-Iran meeting. The Reuters Morning Bid podcast looks at whether diplomacy could bring some relief https://t.co/wC662IPFZ4 https://t.co/FuF6q0MKSS
- Oil rises after Houthi attack on Saudi capital https://t.co/hIjD2NI5Fc https://t.co/hIjD2NI5Fc
- Two Republicans in tight US Senate races called for a swift end to the war in Iran, the latest sign that vulnerable candidates are trying to put some distance between themselves and President Trump over a conflict that has pushed up fuel prices, including a surge in diesel to record highs https://t.co/m4zFUvCbrs
- United States on track for record crude oil production in 2026
- New England natural gas prices have been trading near record discounts to Henry Hub