Will a hurricane hit the mainland US within seven days?
NO
93% probability of NO
Answer dated 1 October 2026 at 23:04 UTC
What this question means
At least one Atlantic-basin tropical cyclone makes landfall on the contiguous 48 US states at hurricane strength (at least 64 knots maximum sustained surface wind) within the target interval. Count an official NHC center crossing of the coast; exclude offshore passages, tropical-storm-strength landfalls, Hawaii and territories.
This is an AI estimate, not a confirmed outcome. Read about the method and its limits.
Sources behind this answer
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Forecast Discussion Number 9
- Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Discussion Number 8
- Tropical Storm Hanna Graphics
- Tropical Storm Hanna Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8