What will the ECB do at its rate decision on 29/10?
HOLD
51% probability of HOLD
Answer dated 1 October 2026 at 22:55 UTC
What this question means
Forecast the announced change in the ECB deposit facility rate at the scheduled monetary policy decision identified by the scheduled event time, relative to the previously announced rate. Exclude non-monetary meetings.
This is an AI estimate, not a confirmed outcome. Read about the method and its limits.
Sources behind this answer
- Christine Lagarde: Hearing of the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament
- Philip R. Lane: Interview with Le Temps
- Isabel Schnabel: Monetary policy in a world of overlapping shocks
- Annual inflation up to 3.2% in the euro area
- Philip R. Lane: The outlook for the euro area economy
- Euro area annual inflation up to 3.3%
- ECB Consumer Expectations Survey results – August 2026
- Euro area annual inflation up to 2.9%
- Annual inflation up to 2.9% in the euro area
- GDP up by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the EU
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